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On Over-Builds, Bandwidth and Pulling in Fences|
Hard-core Internet believers (ICANNites?) are
apparently un-aware about the coming movement
which will re-shape what they view as The .NET.
They may also just want to ignore that which
they do not like.
Newbie VOIP providers are just starting to learn
about the harsh realities of "who pays for the
legs of the calls". The same educational process
which will open VOIP's eyes, will also open their
eyes to the global myth of a FREE high-bandwidth
U.S.-centric providers will start to pull in
their fences. They have plenty of eye-balls
willing to pay for local North American services.
They can start cutting off routing to undersirable
ISPs and foreign locations.
Ultimately, network providers will be asking,
"why are we wasting bandwidth on routing packets
addressed to some irrelevant [in their eyes]
place ?". Web-site owners sometimes ask the same
question, why are they paying for hosting for
viewers they have no desire to support ?
It largely comes down to bandwidth, how it is
wasted or used, and how pulling in the fences
**improves** service for those paying the bills.
With the emerging over-build evolution, this
migration becomes even more compelling because
local (high-bandwidth) users are obviously the
target market for over-build services. Kids
want to do LAN gaming with their friends from
school, not from timbuktu.
As network providers start to prune their routes,
huge amounts of network address space will be
idled. That will help the over-build evolution
as it moves in on non-routable address space,
previously locked up in the IANA-ICANN regime.
While ICANN works to open 8 offices around the
world, local ISPs work to open 8 offices or
colos in each major city. ISPs see their market
and sell to the market, which can walk in the
door. With ICANN, they have to rely on flying
to obscure places and they will find when they
get there, that place has become non-routed
from the U.S. There is no financial incentive
to pay for other people's fun and games.
Academics, governments, and ISOC free-riders will
of course attempt to keep the .NET global and
growing. In order to do that, they of course
have to tax the local people to pay for a global
network they have less-and-less interest in using.
On the other side of the ocean the same thing
is of course happening. Their users see more and
more need to communicate locally and less and
less on a global scale. Bandwidth is a factor
the ISOC-IETF ignores in their designs. It is
This of course is where the ITU traditionaly
enters the scene to help facilitate settlement
fees to keep nations connected. Unfortunately,
the ITU can not fabricate bandwidth from thin
air. No matter how much they may cajole people
to communicate, there is a limit to what people
will pay, and can pay. Also, some services will
just not work as the distance between end-points
The fences will be pulled in to sell to the
market. People will be forced to move to locations
with high-bandwidth or face being part of the
have-nots. As people move closer together it
will be easier to meet and collaborate. The
ICANN road-show will then be easily replaced.
The up-coming domain roundtable meeting in
Seattle.WA is just one example of the coming
migration away from the global ICANN strategy.
The participants there will realize they are
all capable of supporting enough infrastructure
to sell to the North American markets. They can
either limit themselves and play the ICANN game
or step up to the new opportunities. If they
do not, someone will. The market is expanding
by pulling in the fences.
[ Reply to This | Parent
The short summary is that the new low-cost routers|
being placed in people's homes and small businesses
are being programmed to NOT route to undesirable
sub-nets. Very fine-grained filtering is now
possible and virtual-ISPs deploying the over-build
networks decide who gets routed and who does not.
All of the /8s from APNIC, RIPE, LACNIC and AFRINIC are re-allocated to North American use. Australians
can now PAY very large sums of money to ISPs to
become routed. The price of admission to the
U.S. market is going way up for people outside
who have enjoyed a free ride. In some cases,
there is no price because packets can not get
there from here. The distance is too far. The
economics of pulling a fiber from Washington
D.C. to Sydney favor a solution where everyone
in Sydney is re-located to the U.S. It is cheaper
to move people to band-width.
[ Reply to This | Parent
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