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Sensible (and Tactical) Thoughts on New TLDs from the Business Constituency
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I entirely agree a free market solution would be best. I think there's about 0% chance ICANN will go for that and I'd make a lower estimate if we could use negative numbers for this sort of forecast. Given that reality, we're in the world of the third best. (Recall, I wrote, " Since ICANN has to regulate everything, why not at least get a bunch of incumbents and would-be entrants qualified under a safe harbor,") And in that world, and in that context, I think you're being too hard on this idea -- so long as the bar for being on the approved list isn't too high (which I admit is a rather optimistic scenario, but one with a percentage possibility at least in the single digit positive range).
In that world, and if there is free movement among registries by names, registries will have an incentive to compete and to innovate in order to steal away TLDs from other registries, just as they will do whenever a new TLD is approved and then -- after approval -- solicits competitive bids from the registries on the approved bidder list. I think while far inferior to a true free market solution, this is better than the current status quo. Do you agree? If not, why not?
Now, maybe you're not as pessimistic as I am about the chances of a reformed ICANN getting free-market religion. But if so, I'd sure like to know why.
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